Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.211086 0.234422 0.260264 0.291189 0.327435 0.368879 0.420295
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.169435 0.199101 0.234709 0.281294 0.341704 0.418969 0.527972
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.147281 0.180017 0.221626 0.279785 0.361370 0.475753 0.656303
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.130395 0.164012 0.208589 0.274120 0.371938 0.519876 0.777426
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.120474 0.155392 0.203470 0.277472 0.394574 0.585275 0.952430
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.108936 0.143037 0.191272 0.268055 0.394995 0.613927 1.071380
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.098788 0.131554 0.178908 0.256372 0.389161 0.629612 1.169693
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.090836 0.122499 0.169153 0.247392 0.386094 0.649155 1.283668
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.089450 0.122930 0.173723 0.262211 0.427573 0.765565 1.685584
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.090519 0.127081 0.184428 0.288880 0.496816 0.963550 2.458210
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.089109 0.127196 0.188520 0.304272 0.547057 1.137838 3.339601
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.085161 0.122918 0.184792 0.304471 0.564836 1.236538 4.052109
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.079834 0.116343 0.177100 0.297175 0.567106 1.302063 4.757869
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.074129 0.108833 0.167278 0.284745 0.555772 1.326776 5.327453
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.070528 0.104587 0.162880 0.282774 0.569591 1.438195 6.672760
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.066740 0.099758 0.157000 0.276942 0.572493 1.515971 8.025343
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.064525 0.097462 0.155548 0.280325 0.600473 1.701180 11.044928
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.060871 0.092435 0.148586 0.270771 0.590985 1.736882 12.719396
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.057229 0.087235 0.140951 0.258926 0.572901 1.730209 13.922369
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.054186 0.082945 0.134786 0.249822 0.561313 1.748820 15.761279
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.054125 0.083948 0.138885 0.264846 0.625488 2.164614 30.160186
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.055201 0.087064 0.147424 0.291893 0.738041 2.980942 98.195792
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.054953 0.087719 0.151055 0.307509 0.819260 3.760547 368.109430